Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Milan under predominantly overcast conditions with light easterly winds and limited solar insolation. This positioning reflects the latest observational data showing temperatures peaking near that threshold by mid-afternoon, consistent with June climatology adjusted for the specific synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or advection not currently signaled. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing could push readings higher, while enhanced precipitation would reinforce the cap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 4?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,771 Vol.
$46,771 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,771 Vol.
$46,771 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Milan under predominantly overcast conditions with light easterly winds and limited solar insolation. This positioning reflects the latest observational data showing temperatures peaking near that threshold by mid-afternoon, consistent with June climatology adjusted for the specific synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or advection not currently signaled. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing could push readings higher, while enhanced precipitation would reinforce the cap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions