Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 3?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$57,201 Vol.
$57,201 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$57,201 Vol.
$57,201 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
25°C or below
$2,256 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,040 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,951 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,118 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,463 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,822 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,156 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$7,402 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,158 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,696 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,138 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$57,201End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,201End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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