Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum of 28–30°C in Chongqing on July 3, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderate peak readings. Historical July averages near 33°C provide context, yet short-term guidance shows slightly cooler steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limiting extremes. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched 28–30°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range, as model runs continue to converge on modest highs rather than the rare 34°C+ spikes seen in stronger heat domes. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 3?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$74,045 Vol.
$74,045 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$74,045 Vol.
$74,045 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum of 28–30°C in Chongqing on July 3, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while variable cloud cover and scattered showers moderate peak readings. Historical July averages near 33°C provide context, yet short-term guidance shows slightly cooler steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limiting extremes. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched 28–30°C outcomes aligns with this uncertainty range, as model runs continue to converge on modest highs rather than the rare 34°C+ spikes seen in stronger heat domes. Updated forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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