Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers have converged on a maximum temperature of 19°C for Moscow on June 2, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, keeping afternoon peaks near this level. Historical climatology for early June in the region shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the current positioning. Final resolution will depend on verified observational data from local stations, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 2?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$56,505 Vol.
$56,505 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$56,505 Vol.
$56,505 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers have converged on a maximum temperature of 19°C for Moscow on June 2, supporting the market’s strong consensus around this outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, keeping afternoon peaks near this level. Historical climatology for early June in the region shows average highs around 20°C, providing context for the current positioning. Final resolution will depend on verified observational data from local stations, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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