Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Vol.
$186,489 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Vol.
$186,489 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
17°C or below
$1,894 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,940 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,413 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,054 Vol.
No
21°C
$26,727 Vol.
No
22°C
$101,560 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,422 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,824 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$12,586 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,160 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$3,910 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$186,489End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186,489End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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