Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 13°C at 32.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 20, closely trailed by 14°C (25%) and 12°C (22%), reflecting tight forecast ensemble spreads from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs in the 12–14°C range amid a cool, transitional spring pattern. Recent 00Z model runs show subtle divergences due to the timing of patchy low clouds and possible light showers from a weak Atlantic front, which could cap diurnal heating or allow brief sunny breaks for slight warming; current upper-air analysis indicates neutral pressure gradients limiting stronger advection. Historical late-April averages hover near 13–14°C at Munich Airport station, but this year's below-normal anomalies (monthly mean ~4.5°C vs. 9.4°C norm) add caution. Watch DWD updates and 12Z ensembles tomorrow for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 20?
13°C 34%
14°C 28%
12°C 23%
15°C 9%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
34%
14°C
28%
15°C
9%
16°C or higher
4%
13°C 34%
14°C 28%
12°C 23%
15°C 9%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
34%
14°C
28%
15°C
9%
16°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 13°C at 32.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 20, closely trailed by 14°C (25%) and 12°C (22%), reflecting tight forecast ensemble spreads from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting daytime highs in the 12–14°C range amid a cool, transitional spring pattern. Recent 00Z model runs show subtle divergences due to the timing of patchy low clouds and possible light showers from a weak Atlantic front, which could cap diurnal heating or allow brief sunny breaks for slight warming; current upper-air analysis indicates neutral pressure gradients limiting stronger advection. Historical late-April averages hover near 13–14°C at Munich Airport station, but this year's below-normal anomalies (monthly mean ~4.5°C vs. 9.4°C norm) add caution. Watch DWD updates and 12Z ensembles tomorrow for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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