**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 12?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$102,302 Vol.
$102,302 Vol.
May 12, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$102,302 Vol.
$102,302 Vol.
May 12, 2026
5°C or below
$1,421 Vol.
No
6°C
$1,435 Vol.
No
7°C
$3,403 Vol.
No
8°C
$6,790 Vol.
No
9°C
$26,875 Vol.
No
10°C
$13,093 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$11,467 Vol.
No
12°C
$11,079 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,590 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,229 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$8,919 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$102,302End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,302End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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