Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 19%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
19%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 19%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$139 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$279 Vol.
27%
26°C
$131 Vol.
35%
27°C
$235 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$15 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$855End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$855End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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