Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C for September 14, driven by southeasterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity levels around 70–85%, and scattered thundery showers that could suppress peak heating through cloud cover and brief cooling. Official outlooks note potential for late-morning or afternoon convection, while climatological September averages near 31°C provide baseline context; slight model differences in timing and intensity of showers explain the tight split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where brief clear spells can push readings 1–2°C higher before resolution via official Changi Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on September 14?
32°C 50%
33°C 38%
31°C 8%
34°C 3.0%
$17,532 Vol.
$17,532 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
50%
33°C
38%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 38%
31°C 8%
34°C 3.0%
$17,532 Vol.
$17,532 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
50%
33°C
38%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C for September 14, driven by southeasterly monsoon flow, moderate humidity levels around 70–85%, and scattered thundery showers that could suppress peak heating through cloud cover and brief cooling. Official outlooks note potential for late-morning or afternoon convection, while climatological September averages near 31°C provide baseline context; slight model differences in timing and intensity of showers explain the tight split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where brief clear spells can push readings 1–2°C higher before resolution via official Changi Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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