Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with latest GFS and regional model runs projecting Dallas minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 16. Limited radiative cooling from high humidity and warm-air advection from the Gulf, combined with the absence of a frontal passage or significant cloud cover, supports this warmer baseline relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 70°F. The near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflects trader assessment of residual forecast spread in short-range guidance and potential for minor model adjustments before resolution, while mid-70s to mid-80s bins capture the current consensus range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
71°F or below 100%
90°F or higher 96%
82-83°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
100%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
96%
71°F or below 100%
90°F or higher 96%
82-83°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
39%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with latest GFS and regional model runs projecting Dallas minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 16. Limited radiative cooling from high humidity and warm-air advection from the Gulf, combined with the absence of a frontal passage or significant cloud cover, supports this warmer baseline relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 70°F. The near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflects trader assessment of residual forecast spread in short-range guidance and potential for minor model adjustments before resolution, while mid-70s to mid-80s bins capture the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with latest GFS and regional model runs projecting Dallas minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 16. Limited radiative cooling from high humidity and warm-air advection from the Gulf, combined with the absence of a frontal passage or significant cloud cover, supports this warmer baseline relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 70°F. The near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflects trader assessment of residual forecast spread in short-range guidance and potential for minor model adjustments before resolution, while mid-70s to mid-80s bins capture the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with latest GFS and regional model runs projecting Dallas minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 16. Limited radiative cooling from high humidity and warm-air advection from the Gulf, combined with the absence of a frontal passage or significant cloud cover, supports this warmer baseline relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 70°F. The near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F+ outcomes reflects trader assessment of residual forecast spread in short-range guidance and potential for minor model adjustments before resolution, while mid-70s to mid-80s bins capture the current consensus range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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