Trader consensus on Panama City's September 16 maximum temperature centers on 32–33°C because numerical weather models show comparable daytime heating under typical wet-season conditions, with modest differences in cloud cover and moisture convergence. The Intertropical Convergence Zone remains active, promoting scattered convection that can reduce peak insolation by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level humidity and wind patterns, where slightly drier air or delayed showers favors the higher end while enhanced tropical moisture supports the lower. Historical September averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving convective clusters keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
33°C 39%
32°C 35%
35°C or higher 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
35%
33°C
39%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
16%
33°C 39%
32°C 35%
35°C or higher 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$491 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$256 Vol.
1%
27°C
$276 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,097 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,513 Vol.
13%
32°C
$1,485 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1,824 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Panama City's September 16 maximum temperature centers on 32–33°C because numerical weather models show comparable daytime heating under typical wet-season conditions, with modest differences in cloud cover and moisture convergence. The Intertropical Convergence Zone remains active, promoting scattered convection that can reduce peak insolation by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level humidity and wind patterns, where slightly drier air or delayed showers favors the higher end while enhanced tropical moisture supports the lower. Historical September averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving convective clusters keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,942End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Panama City's September 16 maximum temperature centers on 32–33°C because numerical weather models show comparable daytime heating under typical wet-season conditions, with modest differences in cloud cover and moisture convergence. The Intertropical Convergence Zone remains active, promoting scattered convection that can reduce peak insolation by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level humidity and wind patterns, where slightly drier air or delayed showers favors the higher end while enhanced tropical moisture supports the lower. Historical September averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving convective clusters keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,942End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Panama City's September 16 maximum temperature centers on 32–33°C because numerical weather models show comparable daytime heating under typical wet-season conditions, with modest differences in cloud cover and moisture convergence. The Intertropical Convergence Zone remains active, promoting scattered convection that can reduce peak insolation by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level humidity and wind patterns, where slightly drier air or delayed showers favors the higher end while enhanced tropical moisture supports the lower. Historical September averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving convective clusters keeps the two leading outcomes closely matched ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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