Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses points to a Buenos Aires high temperature on September 16 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with easterly flow under building high pressure suppressing stronger warming while limiting cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime heating from seasonal spring baselines, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble spreads remain tight yet straddle those thresholds, with limited upside from unexpected northerly advection before resolution. Updated model runs tonight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
15°C 43%
16°C 35%
14°C 10%
17°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
43%
16°C
35%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 35%
14°C 10%
17°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
$239 Vol.
1%
10°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$40 Vol.
3%
13°C
$221 Vol.
4%
14°C
$738 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,261 Vol.
43%
16°C
$991 Vol.
35%
17°C
$202 Vol.
5%
18°C
$179 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses points to a Buenos Aires high temperature on September 16 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with easterly flow under building high pressure suppressing stronger warming while limiting cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime heating from seasonal spring baselines, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble spreads remain tight yet straddle those thresholds, with limited upside from unexpected northerly advection before resolution. Updated model runs tonight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,108End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses points to a Buenos Aires high temperature on September 16 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with easterly flow under building high pressure suppressing stronger warming while limiting cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime heating from seasonal spring baselines, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble spreads remain tight yet straddle those thresholds, with limited upside from unexpected northerly advection before resolution. Updated model runs tonight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,108End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses points to a Buenos Aires high temperature on September 16 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with easterly flow under building high pressure suppressing stronger warming while limiting cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime heating from seasonal spring baselines, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 15°C and 16°C because ensemble spreads remain tight yet straddle those thresholds, with limited upside from unexpected northerly advection before resolution. Updated model runs tonight and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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