**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 15?
4°C or below 51%
7°C 21%
5°C 6%
9°C <1%
$966 Vol.
$966 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
51%
5°C
6%
6°C
44%
7°C
21%
8°C
57%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
4°C or below 51%
7°C 21%
5°C 6%
9°C <1%
$966 Vol.
$966 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
$79 Vol.
51%
5°C
$50 Vol.
6%
6°C
$74 Vol.
44%
7°C
$37 Vol.
21%
8°C
$116 Vol.
57%
9°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$966End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$966End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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