Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 16?
11°C or higher 95%
6°C 40%
3°C 22%
5°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
1°C or below
8%
2°C
21%
3°C
22%
4°C
21%
5°C
22%
6°C
40%
7°C
2%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C or higher
95%
11°C or higher 95%
6°C 40%
3°C 22%
5°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
1°C or below
$201 Vol.
8%
2°C
$0 Vol.
21%
3°C
$0 Vol.
22%
4°C
$0 Vol.
21%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$58 Vol.
40%
7°C
$89 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$348End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$348End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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