National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies, southeast flow, and a stalled high-pressure ridge that favors strong insolation. The tight spread between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and coverage—scattered storms could trim peak heating by a degree or two, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the mid-90s. Heat indices near 103–107°F underscore the humid airmass, but resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at official stations rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 15?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 41%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 41%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
$37 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$283 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$628 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$1,307 Vol.
49%
96-97°F
$433 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$49 Vol.
1%
104°F or higher
$49 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies, southeast flow, and a stalled high-pressure ridge that favors strong insolation. The tight spread between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and coverage—scattered storms could trim peak heating by a degree or two, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the mid-90s. Heat indices near 103–107°F underscore the humid airmass, but resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at official stations rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$2,786End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies, southeast flow, and a stalled high-pressure ridge that favors strong insolation. The tight spread between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and coverage—scattered storms could trim peak heating by a degree or two, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the mid-90s. Heat indices near 103–107°F underscore the humid airmass, but resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at official stations rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,786End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies, southeast flow, and a stalled high-pressure ridge that favors strong insolation. The tight spread between the 94-95°F and 92-93°F bins reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and coverage—scattered storms could trim peak heating by a degree or two, while clearer conditions would allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the mid-90s. Heat indices near 103–107°F underscore the humid airmass, but resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at official stations rather than feels-like values. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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