Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 Vol.
$119,651 Vol.
May 26, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 Vol.
$119,651 Vol.
May 26, 2026
65°F or below
$3,072 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,217 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,445 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,107 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,789 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$23,101 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,701 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$24,950 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$15,771 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$15,392 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$16,105 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$119,651End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$119,651End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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