Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 Vol.
$137,230 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 Vol.
$137,230 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$502 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,541 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,856 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,917 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,359 Vol.
No
27°C
$32,738 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$18,435 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,118 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,788 Vol.
No
31°C
$16,146 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$4,829 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$137,230End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137,230End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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