Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 Vol.
$150,382 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 Vol.
$150,382 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$19,922 Vol.
No
26°C
$24,251 Vol.
No
27°C
$40,627 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,719 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$15,247 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,816 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,326 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,922 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,509 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,468 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,575 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$150,382End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150,382End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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