Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 23?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Vol.
$213,178 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Vol.
$213,178 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
35°C or below
$65,968 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$26,386 Vol.
No
37°C
$28,443 Vol.
No
38°C
$22,034 Vol.
No
39°C
$16,891 Vol.
No
40°C
$17,583 Vol.
No
41°C
$16,393 Vol.
No
42°C
$6,118 Vol.
No
43°C
$5,797 Vol.
No
44°C
$3,223 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$4,340 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$213,178End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$213,178End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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