Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 4?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 Vol.
$182,350 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$182,350 Vol.
$182,350 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
15°C or below
$138 Vol.
No
16°C
$771 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,202 Vol.
No
18°C
$14,177 Vol.
No
19°C
$31,141 Vol.
No
20°C
$23,574 Vol.
No
21°C
$55,247 Vol.
No
22°C
$33,039 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$12,273 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,550 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$4,237 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$182,350End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$182,350End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a maximum of 22°C for Paris on June 4, underpinning the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies have produced morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak consistent with early June climatology in the Paris basin, where typical highs range 20–23°C. With the observation window closing shortly, traders are aligning with numerical model consensus rather than outlier scenarios. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or measurement revision by the official station could shift the recorded high away from 22°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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