Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com converge on a Qingdao maximum of 30–31°C for August 13, driven by typical late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and marine influence from the Yellow Sea that limits peak heating. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could trim or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Coastal sea breezes and humidity around 70% further stabilize readings near long-term August averages of 29–30°C, while model runs show minimal risk of exceeding 32°C absent clearer skies. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
30°C 33%
31°C 33%
32°C 12%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
33%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 33%
32°C 12%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$21 Vol.
1%
28°C
$333 Vol.
4%
29°C
$121 Vol.
12%
30°C
$129 Vol.
33%
31°C
$100 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,709 Vol.
12%
33°C
$139 Vol.
5%
34°C
$37 Vol.
4%
35°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com converge on a Qingdao maximum of 30–31°C for August 13, driven by typical late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and marine influence from the Yellow Sea that limits peak heating. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could trim or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Coastal sea breezes and humidity around 70% further stabilize readings near long-term August averages of 29–30°C, while model runs show minimal risk of exceeding 32°C absent clearer skies. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,831End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com converge on a Qingdao maximum of 30–31°C for August 13, driven by typical late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and marine influence from the Yellow Sea that limits peak heating. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could trim or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Coastal sea breezes and humidity around 70% further stabilize readings near long-term August averages of 29–30°C, while model runs show minimal risk of exceeding 32°C absent clearer skies. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,831End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com converge on a Qingdao maximum of 30–31°C for August 13, driven by typical late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover, moderate easterly winds, and marine influence from the Yellow Sea that limits peak heating. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could trim or enhance surface temperatures by 1°C. Coastal sea breezes and humidity around 70% further stabilize readings near long-term August averages of 29–30°C, while model runs show minimal risk of exceeding 32°C absent clearer skies. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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