Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 Vol.
$39,199 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 Vol.
$39,199 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
$1,250 Vol.
No
12°C
$761 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,444 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,519 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,302 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,440 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,564 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$2,508 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,595 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,754 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$1,062 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$39,199End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,199End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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