Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 54-55°F (43.5%) over 56-57°F (34.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid mostly cloudy skies, breezy southerly winds, and scattered thundershowers. This positioning follows a cooldown from early April's 70°F peak, with persistent marine layer influence and cool air advection capping diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on low cloud persistence—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with thicker stratus, while GFS allows more breaks for 1-2°F warmer readings—and 40-85% precipitation odds reducing solar insolation. New 12Z model runs expected midday could refine this tight race before evening observations lock in trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
54-55°F 44%
56-57°F 35%
52-53°F 12%
58-59°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
9%
60°F or higher
2%
54-55°F 44%
56-57°F 35%
52-53°F 12%
58-59°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
41°F or below
$490 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$171 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$174 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$183 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$311 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$229 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$195 Vol.
12%
54-55°F
$351 Vol.
44%
56-57°F
$406 Vol.
35%
58-59°F
$527 Vol.
9%
60°F or higher
$114 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 54-55°F (43.5%) over 56-57°F (34.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid mostly cloudy skies, breezy southerly winds, and scattered thundershowers. This positioning follows a cooldown from early April's 70°F peak, with persistent marine layer influence and cool air advection capping diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on low cloud persistence—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with thicker stratus, while GFS allows more breaks for 1-2°F warmer readings—and 40-85% precipitation odds reducing solar insolation. New 12Z model runs expected midday could refine this tight race before evening observations lock in trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,144End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 54-55°F (43.5%) over 56-57°F (34.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid mostly cloudy skies, breezy southerly winds, and scattered thundershowers. This positioning follows a cooldown from early April's 70°F peak, with persistent marine layer influence and cool air advection capping diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on low cloud persistence—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with thicker stratus, while GFS allows more breaks for 1-2°F warmer readings—and 40-85% precipitation odds reducing solar insolation. New 12Z model runs expected midday could refine this tight race before evening observations lock in trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,144End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 54-55°F (43.5%) over 56-57°F (34.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs near 55°F amid mostly cloudy skies, breezy southerly winds, and scattered thundershowers. This positioning follows a cooldown from early April's 70°F peak, with persistent marine layer influence and cool air advection capping diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on low cloud persistence—ECMWF leans slightly cooler with thicker stratus, while GFS allows more breaks for 1-2°F warmer readings—and 40-85% precipitation odds reducing solar insolation. New 12Z model runs expected midday could refine this tight race before evening observations lock in trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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