Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 1?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$261,973 Vol.
$261,973 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$261,973 Vol.
$261,973 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
17°C or below
$1,537 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,750 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,399 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,943 Vol.
No
21°C
$17,920 Vol.
No
22°C
$20,968 Vol.
No
23°C
$24,160 Vol.
No
24°C
$79,635 Vol.
No
25°C
$36,094 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$26,877 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$32,691 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$261,973End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$261,973End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts for June 1 indicate a daytime high of 25°C in Seoul under stable early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover. This aligns precisely with climatological averages for the date and keeps the market-implied probability for 25°C at 100 percent, reflecting strong consensus across official models with minimal divergence. Lower-temperature outcomes remain near zero because current surface observations and short-range guidance show no realistic pathway to sub-25°C maxima. A sudden frontal passage or measurement revision could theoretically alter the recorded high, though such shifts are historically rare this early in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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