Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and other models indicate fair to mostly sunny conditions for Seoul on June 26, 2026, with daytime highs centered around 28–30°C under building high pressure and light winds. This setup favors radiative warming during peak solar heating hours, though increasing humidity and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon could cap the maximum through enhanced cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the narrow 26–27°C window that dominates trader pricing. Historical late-June climatology for Seoul supports highs near 28°C as a baseline, but the current stable pattern reduces downside risk from rain-cooled scenarios while limiting upside beyond 29°C without stronger subsidence. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will be the key inputs for any late shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 26?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$253,220 Vol.
$253,220 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$253,220 Vol.
$253,220 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
21°C or below
$6,941 Vol.
No
22°C
$28,050 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,319 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,923 Vol.
No
25°C
$70,610 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$40,981 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,531 Vol.
No
28°C
$26,301 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,885 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,548 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$9,131 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and other models indicate fair to mostly sunny conditions for Seoul on June 26, 2026, with daytime highs centered around 28–30°C under building high pressure and light winds. This setup favors radiative warming during peak solar heating hours, though increasing humidity and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon could cap the maximum through enhanced cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the narrow 26–27°C window that dominates trader pricing. Historical late-June climatology for Seoul supports highs near 28°C as a baseline, but the current stable pattern reduces downside risk from rain-cooled scenarios while limiting upside beyond 29°C without stronger subsidence. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will be the key inputs for any late shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$253,220End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and other models indicate fair to mostly sunny conditions for Seoul on June 26, 2026, with daytime highs centered around 28–30°C under building high pressure and light winds. This setup favors radiative warming during peak solar heating hours, though increasing humidity and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon could cap the maximum through enhanced cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the narrow 26–27°C window that dominates trader pricing. Historical late-June climatology for Seoul supports highs near 28°C as a baseline, but the current stable pattern reduces downside risk from rain-cooled scenarios while limiting upside beyond 29°C without stronger subsidence. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will be the key inputs for any late shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$253,220End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and other models indicate fair to mostly sunny conditions for Seoul on June 26, 2026, with daytime highs centered around 28–30°C under building high pressure and light winds. This setup favors radiative warming during peak solar heating hours, though increasing humidity and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon could cap the maximum through enhanced cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows minor spreads due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the narrow 26–27°C window that dominates trader pricing. Historical late-June climatology for Seoul supports highs near 28°C as a baseline, but the current stable pattern reduces downside risk from rain-cooled scenarios while limiting upside beyond 29°C without stronger subsidence. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of resolution will be the key inputs for any late shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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