Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
17°C or below
$373 Vol.
No
18°C
$323 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,483 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,152 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,660 Vol.
No
22°C
$19,840 Vol.
No
23°C
$19,200 Vol.
No
24°C
$76,433 Vol.
No
25°C
$34,893 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$53,995 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$45,143 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$264,495End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$264,495End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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