Current meteorological forecasts from official Chinese weather services project a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shanghai on June 4, aligning with early June climatology under subtropical monsoon conditions where daily highs typically range 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and possible light rain. This consensus drives the market’s near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time model agreement and observational data from regional stations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized convective activity or measurement timing shifts the recorded peak, though historical variability in Shanghai’s early-summer temperatures rarely exceeds a 2°C range on any single day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 4?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$186,264 Vol.
$186,264 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$186,264 Vol.
$186,264 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
21°C or below
$1,593 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,354 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,560 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,765 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,243 Vol.
No
26°C
$49,228 Vol.
No
27°C
$29,030 Vol.
No
28°C
$22,205 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$22,542 Vol.
No
30°C
$20,792 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$19,950 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from official Chinese weather services project a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shanghai on June 4, aligning with early June climatology under subtropical monsoon conditions where daily highs typically range 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and possible light rain. This consensus drives the market’s near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time model agreement and observational data from regional stations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized convective activity or measurement timing shifts the recorded peak, though historical variability in Shanghai’s early-summer temperatures rarely exceeds a 2°C range on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$186,264End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from official Chinese weather services project a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shanghai on June 4, aligning with early June climatology under subtropical monsoon conditions where daily highs typically range 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and possible light rain. This consensus drives the market’s near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time model agreement and observational data from regional stations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized convective activity or measurement timing shifts the recorded peak, though historical variability in Shanghai’s early-summer temperatures rarely exceeds a 2°C range on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186,264End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts from official Chinese weather services project a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shanghai on June 4, aligning with early June climatology under subtropical monsoon conditions where daily highs typically range 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and possible light rain. This consensus drives the market’s near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time model agreement and observational data from regional stations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized convective activity or measurement timing shifts the recorded peak, though historical variability in Shanghai’s early-summer temperatures rarely exceeds a 2°C range on any single day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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