Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$144,893 Vol.
$144,893 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$144,893 Vol.
$144,893 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
27°C or below
$3,180 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,394 Vol.
No
29°C
$464 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,457 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,275 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,749 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,959 Vol.
No
34°C
$33,304 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$17,699 Vol.
No
36°C
$24,333 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$37,079 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$144,893End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144,893End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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