Current weather forecasts for Shenzhen on June 7 converge on a daily maximum near 32°C, driving the market's near-certain positioning at that level. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and typical early-summer sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea, support afternoon peaks in this range according to numerical models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration. Official station measurements and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation, consistent with climatological baselines of 30–32°C highs for the period. Only an unexpected intensification of localized convection or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow band before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 7?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$205,623 Vol.
$205,623 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$205,623 Vol.
$205,623 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current weather forecasts for Shenzhen on June 7 converge on a daily maximum near 32°C, driving the market's near-certain positioning at that level. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and typical early-summer sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea, support afternoon peaks in this range according to numerical models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration. Official station measurements and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation, consistent with climatological baselines of 30–32°C highs for the period. Only an unexpected intensification of localized convection or station-specific microclimate effects could shift the recorded maximum outside this narrow band before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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