Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,506 Vol.
$175,506 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,506 Vol.
$175,506 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
$10,331 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,683 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,426 Vol.
No
28°C
$33,331 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,954 Vol.
No
30°C
$25,389 Vol.
No
31°C
$25,540 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,120 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$10,388 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,712 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,630 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$175,506End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175,506End Date
Jul 1, 2026Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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