Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C, a drop from recent peaks like 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 14 under clearer skies with high insolation and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C at 23.5% and 22.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over persistent warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling and reduced solar heating; relative humidity near 70–80% could amplify perceived heat but showers may cap peaks below recent records. Historical April maxima average 25–27°C, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations—watch CWA updates today for refined guidance amid this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
31°C 24%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C
22%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 24%
32°C 22%
30°C 16%
29°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 16, 2026
26°C or below
$1,069 Vol.
1%
27°C
$701 Vol.
4%
28°C
$600 Vol.
9%
29°C
$212 Vol.
15%
30°C
$393 Vol.
16%
31°C
$280 Vol.
24%
32°C
$489 Vol.
22%
33°C
$228 Vol.
11%
34°C
$207 Vol.
4%
35°C
$347 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$623 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C, a drop from recent peaks like 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 14 under clearer skies with high insolation and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C at 23.5% and 22.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over persistent warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling and reduced solar heating; relative humidity near 70–80% could amplify perceived heat but showers may cap peaks below recent records. Historical April maxima average 25–27°C, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations—watch CWA updates today for refined guidance amid this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$5,149End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C, a drop from recent peaks like 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 14 under clearer skies with high insolation and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C at 23.5% and 22.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over persistent warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling and reduced solar heating; relative humidity near 70–80% could amplify perceived heat but showers may cap peaks below recent records. Historical April maxima average 25–27°C, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations—watch CWA updates today for refined guidance amid this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,149End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration forecasts partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers in Taipei on April 16, projecting daytime highs of 24–30°C, a drop from recent peaks like 33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 14 under clearer skies with high insolation and light winds. Trader consensus clusters around 31–32°C at 23.5% and 22.5% implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over persistent warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling and reduced solar heating; relative humidity near 70–80% could amplify perceived heat but showers may cap peaks below recent records. Historical April maxima average 25–27°C, with resolution hinging on afternoon observations—watch CWA updates today for refined guidance amid this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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