Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project daytime highs of 34–35°C on August 4 under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershower chances, anchoring the near-even trader consensus on 35°C (32.5%) and 36°C (36.5%). High humidity and stable high-pressure patterns limit strong solar heating while scattered convection could suppress peaks, yet clearer intervals or urban heat-island effects might allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where maxima average 32–34°C but have recently trended warmer absent typhoon influence. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution near the 35–36°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$76 Vol.
1%
33°C
$28 Vol.
3%
34°C
$62 Vol.
11%
35°C
$415 Vol.
32%
36°C
$197 Vol.
37%
37°C
$183 Vol.
17%
38°C
$293 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$297 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project daytime highs of 34–35°C on August 4 under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershower chances, anchoring the near-even trader consensus on 35°C (32.5%) and 36°C (36.5%). High humidity and stable high-pressure patterns limit strong solar heating while scattered convection could suppress peaks, yet clearer intervals or urban heat-island effects might allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where maxima average 32–34°C but have recently trended warmer absent typhoon influence. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution near the 35–36°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,722End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project daytime highs of 34–35°C on August 4 under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershower chances, anchoring the near-even trader consensus on 35°C (32.5%) and 36°C (36.5%). High humidity and stable high-pressure patterns limit strong solar heating while scattered convection could suppress peaks, yet clearer intervals or urban heat-island effects might allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where maxima average 32–34°C but have recently trended warmer absent typhoon influence. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution near the 35–36°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,722End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project daytime highs of 34–35°C on August 4 under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershower chances, anchoring the near-even trader consensus on 35°C (32.5%) and 36°C (36.5%). High humidity and stable high-pressure patterns limit strong solar heating while scattered convection could suppress peaks, yet clearer intervals or urban heat-island effects might allow brief spikes to 36°C. Model runs show modest spread around these values, consistent with early-August climatology where maxima average 32–34°C but have recently trended warmer absent typhoon influence. Updated CWA briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution near the 35–36°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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