Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 3?
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
15%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
6%
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
30°C or below
$70 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$47 Vol.
1%
32°C
$20 Vol.
2%
33°C
$14 Vol.
4%
34°C
$3 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
15%
36°C
$241 Vol.
34%
37°C
$102 Vol.
37%
38°C
$168 Vol.
12%
39°C
$201 Vol.
3%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$876End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$876End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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