Recent forecast guidance for Tel Aviv on July 2 centers on a typical midsummer pattern driven by the subtropical high and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Model consensus and climatological baselines place daily highs most often between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at 31°C. Late-June observations near 30°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns support this narrow range, while the inherent spread in ensemble runs and potential for minor timing shifts in onshore flow keep 30°C and 32°C as viable secondary outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 2?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$28,840 Vol.
$28,840 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$28,840 Vol.
$28,840 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
$1,266 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,224 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,003 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,400 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$7,021 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,184 Vol.
No
34°C
$816 Vol.
No
35°C
$817 Vol.
No
36°C
$300 Vol.
No
37°C
$350 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$459 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Tel Aviv on July 2 centers on a typical midsummer pattern driven by the subtropical high and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Model consensus and climatological baselines place daily highs most often between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at 31°C. Late-June observations near 30°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns support this narrow range, while the inherent spread in ensemble runs and potential for minor timing shifts in onshore flow keep 30°C and 32°C as viable secondary outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$28,840End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Tel Aviv on July 2 centers on a typical midsummer pattern driven by the subtropical high and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Model consensus and climatological baselines place daily highs most often between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at 31°C. Late-June observations near 30°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns support this narrow range, while the inherent spread in ensemble runs and potential for minor timing shifts in onshore flow keep 30°C and 32°C as viable secondary outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,840End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast guidance for Tel Aviv on July 2 centers on a typical midsummer pattern driven by the subtropical high and Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal maxima. Model consensus and climatological baselines place daily highs most often between 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities at 31°C. Late-June observations near 30°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns support this narrow range, while the inherent spread in ensemble runs and potential for minor timing shifts in onshore flow keep 30°C and 32°C as viable secondary outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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