Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain high for Tel Aviv on September 9 due to consistent outputs from major forecast models and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean. Official agencies report mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, low humidity, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius, aligning closely with historical September baselines around 31–32°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high model agreement and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud development. A sudden increase in marine layer moisture or localized wind shifts could trim the peak by 1–2°C, though current data show little risk of such deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9?
34°C 99.4%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$27,027 Vol.
$27,027 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
99%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.4%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$27,027 Vol.
$27,027 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
29°C or below
$1,236 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,487 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,061 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,303 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,457 Vol.
99%
35°C
$1,470 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain high for Tel Aviv on September 9 due to consistent outputs from major forecast models and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean. Official agencies report mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, low humidity, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius, aligning closely with historical September baselines around 31–32°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high model agreement and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud development. A sudden increase in marine layer moisture or localized wind shifts could trim the peak by 1–2°C, though current data show little risk of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$27,027End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain high for Tel Aviv on September 9 due to consistent outputs from major forecast models and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean. Official agencies report mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, low humidity, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius, aligning closely with historical September baselines around 31–32°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high model agreement and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud development. A sudden increase in marine layer moisture or localized wind shifts could trim the peak by 1–2°C, though current data show little risk of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,027End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 34°C as the near-certain high for Tel Aviv on September 9 due to consistent outputs from major forecast models and real-time observations under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean. Official agencies report mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, low humidity, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius, aligning closely with historical September baselines around 31–32°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects high model agreement and minimal uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud development. A sudden increase in marine layer moisture or localized wind shifts could trim the peak by 1–2°C, though current data show little risk of such deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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