**Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical late-summer insolation under stable high-pressure conditions.** Afternoon readings from Ben Gurion Airport and urban stations have tracked toward this level, aligning with climatological maxima near 31–32°C but elevated by minimal cloud cover and low humidity. Trader consensus at 100% for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across model runs and real-time station data, with minimal divergence expected before the daily maximum is recorded. The primary risk to this outcome remains a stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or localized cloud development that could cap the high at 32°C or below, though current conditions show low probability of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$32,176 Vol.
$32,176 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$32,176 Vol.
$32,176 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
29°C or below
$669 Vol.
No
30°C
$385 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,962 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,778 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,703 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,085 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,022 Vol.
No
36°C
$397 Vol.
No
37°C
$575 Vol.
No
38°C
$230 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$369 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical late-summer insolation under stable high-pressure conditions.** Afternoon readings from Ben Gurion Airport and urban stations have tracked toward this level, aligning with climatological maxima near 31–32°C but elevated by minimal cloud cover and low humidity. Trader consensus at 100% for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across model runs and real-time station data, with minimal divergence expected before the daily maximum is recorded. The primary risk to this outcome remains a stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or localized cloud development that could cap the high at 32°C or below, though current conditions show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,176End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical late-summer insolation under stable high-pressure conditions.** Afternoon readings from Ben Gurion Airport and urban stations have tracked toward this level, aligning with climatological maxima near 31–32°C but elevated by minimal cloud cover and low humidity. Trader consensus at 100% for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across model runs and real-time station data, with minimal divergence expected before the daily maximum is recorded. The primary risk to this outcome remains a stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or localized cloud development that could cap the high at 32°C or below, though current conditions show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,176End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical late-summer insolation under stable high-pressure conditions.** Afternoon readings from Ben Gurion Airport and urban stations have tracked toward this level, aligning with climatological maxima near 31–32°C but elevated by minimal cloud cover and low humidity. Trader consensus at 100% for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across model runs and real-time station data, with minimal divergence expected before the daily maximum is recorded. The primary risk to this outcome remains a stronger-than-forecast sea breeze or localized cloud development that could cap the high at 32°C or below, though current conditions show low probability of such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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