Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 9?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,061 Vol.
$65,061 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,061 Vol.
$65,061 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
7°C or below
$273 Vol.
No
8°C
$8,350 Vol.
No
9°C
$318 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,195 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,781 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,831 Vol.
No
13°C
$9,963 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$12,157 Vol.
No
15°C
$10,675 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,491 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,026 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$65,061End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,061End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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