Multiple weather models and official forecasts project sunny, clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation for Zhengzhou today, driving daytime highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius through strong solar heating. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 84.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the main alternative. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions without cooling fronts or cloud cover to suppress peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology where such temperatures are routine absent major shifts. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of downward revisions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 83%
31°C 15%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
83%
32°C or higher 83%
31°C 15%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$970 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$990 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$177 Vol.
1%
31°C
$344 Vol.
18%
32°C or higher
$1,339 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and official forecasts project sunny, clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation for Zhengzhou today, driving daytime highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius through strong solar heating. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 84.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the main alternative. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions without cooling fronts or cloud cover to suppress peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology where such temperatures are routine absent major shifts. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of downward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,703End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and official forecasts project sunny, clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation for Zhengzhou today, driving daytime highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius through strong solar heating. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 84.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the main alternative. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions without cooling fronts or cloud cover to suppress peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology where such temperatures are routine absent major shifts. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of downward revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,703End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple weather models and official forecasts project sunny, clear skies with light northerly winds and negligible precipitation for Zhengzhou today, driving daytime highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius through strong solar heating. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 84.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the main alternative. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure conditions without cooling fronts or cloud cover to suppress peaks, aligning with late-summer climatology where such temperatures are routine absent major shifts. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of downward revisions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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