Official records confirm Jeffrey Epstein died by suicide in federal custody in August 2019, with the medical examiner's findings, family identification of remains, and subsequent DOJ review all supporting that conclusion. No verified sightings, financial activity, or credible witness statements have emerged in the intervening years to suggest survival. Trader consensus at 97.6% for "No" reflects this sustained absence of evidence ahead of the 2027 cutoff, combined with the short remaining window through late 2026. While a sudden authenticated revelation—such as declassified intelligence or forensic proof—could theoretically shift probabilities, historical precedent shows such claims have consistently failed to materialize into confirmed outcomes.