President Lee Jae-myung has maintained a stable position since taking office in June 2025, backed by his Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly that makes passage of an impeachment motion highly improbable without broad cross-party support. His approval ratings remained in the mid-to-high 60s for much of his first year before moderating after the June 2026 local elections, where the party secured most metropolitan and provincial races despite localized setbacks over ballot administration. Recent public statements on North Korea engagement and economic priorities have not triggered institutional challenges or sustained opposition campaigns. With no active legislative proceedings, court actions, or major scandals reported in the past several months, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and current political equilibrium that make removal before 2027 unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung has maintained a stable position since taking office in June 2025, backed by his Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly that makes passage of an impeachment motion highly improbable without broad cross-party support. His approval ratings remained in the mid-to-high 60s for much of his first year before moderating after the June 2026 local elections, where the party secured most metropolitan and provincial races despite localized setbacks over ballot administration. Recent public statements on North Korea engagement and economic priorities have not triggered institutional challenges or sustained opposition campaigns. With no active legislative proceedings, court actions, or major scandals reported in the past several months, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and current political equilibrium that make removal before 2027 unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung has maintained a stable position since taking office in June 2025, backed by his Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly that makes passage of an impeachment motion highly improbable without broad cross-party support. His approval ratings remained in the mid-to-high 60s for much of his first year before moderating after the June 2026 local elections, where the party secured most metropolitan and provincial races despite localized setbacks over ballot administration. Recent public statements on North Korea engagement and economic priorities have not triggered institutional challenges or sustained opposition campaigns. With no active legislative proceedings, court actions, or major scandals reported in the past several months, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and current political equilibrium that make removal before 2027 unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung has maintained a stable position since taking office in June 2025, backed by his Democratic Party’s supermajority in the National Assembly that makes passage of an impeachment motion highly improbable without broad cross-party support. His approval ratings remained in the mid-to-high 60s for much of his first year before moderating after the June 2026 local elections, where the party secured most metropolitan and provincial races despite localized setbacks over ballot administration. Recent public statements on North Korea engagement and economic priorities have not triggered institutional challenges or sustained opposition campaigns. With no active legislative proceedings, court actions, or major scandals reported in the past several months, trader consensus reflects the structural barriers and current political equilibrium that make removal before 2027 unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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