Democratic Party control of the National Assembly represents the primary barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Lee Jae-myung before 2027. The ruling party holds a legislative majority sufficient to block any opposition-initiated vote, as evidenced by the rapid dismissal of a June 2026 citizen petition that gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance. Lee's approval ratings, while declining from earlier highs near 60-70 percent to the mid-40s amid local election fallout and policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, have not triggered sustained calls for removal from within his coalition. Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including recent proposals for North Korea talks, further underscore institutional continuity and limited near-term political disruption.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Democratic Party control of the National Assembly represents the primary barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Lee Jae-myung before 2027. The ruling party holds a legislative majority sufficient to block any opposition-initiated vote, as evidenced by the rapid dismissal of a June 2026 citizen petition that gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance. Lee's approval ratings, while declining from earlier highs near 60-70 percent to the mid-40s amid local election fallout and policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, have not triggered sustained calls for removal from within his coalition. Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including recent proposals for North Korea talks, further underscore institutional continuity and limited near-term political disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Democratic Party control of the National Assembly represents the primary barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Lee Jae-myung before 2027. The ruling party holds a legislative majority sufficient to block any opposition-initiated vote, as evidenced by the rapid dismissal of a June 2026 citizen petition that gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance. Lee's approval ratings, while declining from earlier highs near 60-70 percent to the mid-40s amid local election fallout and policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, have not triggered sustained calls for removal from within his coalition. Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including recent proposals for North Korea talks, further underscore institutional continuity and limited near-term political disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic Party control of the National Assembly represents the primary barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Lee Jae-myung before 2027. The ruling party holds a legislative majority sufficient to block any opposition-initiated vote, as evidenced by the rapid dismissal of a June 2026 citizen petition that gathered over 100,000 signatures yet failed to advance. Lee's approval ratings, while declining from earlier highs near 60-70 percent to the mid-40s amid local election fallout and policy debates over taxes and prosecutorial reforms, have not triggered sustained calls for removal from within his coalition. Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including recent proposals for North Korea talks, further underscore institutional continuity and limited near-term political disruption.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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