Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 77°F in Austin on August 27 amid a lingering heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 102°F and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent high dew points near 70°F, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from convective activity are expected to limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F bins, where small forecast shifts in cloud timing or storm coverage could easily tip the exact low between adjacent ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 72–73°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline warmth. Traders will watch the final NWS update and real-time observations for any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$27 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$22 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$27 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$107 Vol.
3%
88°F or higher
$161 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 77°F in Austin on August 27 amid a lingering heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 102°F and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent high dew points near 70°F, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from convective activity are expected to limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F bins, where small forecast shifts in cloud timing or storm coverage could easily tip the exact low between adjacent ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 72–73°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline warmth. Traders will watch the final NWS update and real-time observations for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$343End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 77°F in Austin on August 27 amid a lingering heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 102°F and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent high dew points near 70°F, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from convective activity are expected to limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F bins, where small forecast shifts in cloud timing or storm coverage could easily tip the exact low between adjacent ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 72–73°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline warmth. Traders will watch the final NWS update and real-time observations for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$343End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 77°F in Austin on August 27 amid a lingering heat wave, with daytime highs forecast near 102°F and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent high dew points near 70°F, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from convective activity are expected to limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 76–79°F bins, where small forecast shifts in cloud timing or storm coverage could easily tip the exact low between adjacent ranges. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 72–73°F, but current conditions reflect elevated baseline warmth. Traders will watch the final NWS update and real-time observations for any late adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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