Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 23 will likely fall in the 17–19°C range under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds shifting northeast. This reflects a stable, mild late-summer pattern with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected, keeping overnight lows well above the 14.2°C climatological average. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, though minor differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. The even market split between extremes highlights uncertainty around tail risks—such as an unforecasted frontal passage or enhanced radiational cooling—while the bulk of probability clusters on mid-range outcomes consistent with current observations and seasonal norms. Updated model runs from official agencies will refine these details ahead of the date.