**Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Busan on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 23–26 °C range, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent rain associated with a lingering frontal system.** High humidity (often above 80–85 %) and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies are limiting overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima are expected to reach only 29–31 °C. This produces a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with typical late-August conditions. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate precipitation continuing into the evening of the 28th, which further stabilizes nighttime temperatures near 25–26 °C in many runs, though slight variations in rain timing or wind direction can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26 °C (each near 44–45 %) reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of short-range model spread and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 28?
25°C 45%
24°C 44%
26°C 44%
27°C 44%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
43%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
43%
25°C 45%
24°C 44%
26°C 44%
27°C 44%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
43%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Busan on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 23–26 °C range, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent rain associated with a lingering frontal system.** High humidity (often above 80–85 %) and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies are limiting overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima are expected to reach only 29–31 °C. This produces a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with typical late-August conditions. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate precipitation continuing into the evening of the 28th, which further stabilizes nighttime temperatures near 25–26 °C in many runs, though slight variations in rain timing or wind direction can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26 °C (each near 44–45 %) reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of short-range model spread and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions