Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
22°C or below 97%
32°C or higher 95%
28°C 83%
27°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
97%
23°C
46%
24°C
43%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
83%
29°C
1%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
95%
22°C or below 97%
32°C or higher 95%
28°C 83%
27°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
97%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
83%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
46%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in Busan near 27°C on August 26 under the influence of the North Pacific high, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-August climatology of 24–28°C minima, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near even between sub-23°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical variability in urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated guidance is expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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