Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 80%
25°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
97%
21°C
80%
22°C
24%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
42%
28°C
41%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 97%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 80%
25°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
97%
21°C
$5 Vol.
80%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
41%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close odds between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below reflect genuine forecast uncertainty for Busan’s overnight low on August 25. Late-summer conditions over the East Sea allow rapid shifts from warm, humid maritime air to cooler northeasterly flow, modulated by cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any passing short-wave trough. Global and regional models (KMA, ECMWF, GFS) currently diverge on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling rates, keeping the distribution broad around the 23–27 °C range. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus updated surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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