Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate minimum temperatures in Busan for September 2 likely ranging 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers. These conditions, combined with moderating sea breezes and limited overnight radiative cooling under humid maritime air, support the market's closely matched probabilities across the mid-20s. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift through the short lead time, with historical early-September climatology placing typical lows near 21–23°C. Traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to allow slightly lower readings against rain-cooled air masses that could hold minima higher, with final resolution hinging on the next KMA updates and observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on September 2?
31°C or higher 50%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
21°C or below
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
50%
31°C or higher 50%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
21°C or below
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate minimum temperatures in Busan for September 2 likely ranging 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of light showers. These conditions, combined with moderating sea breezes and limited overnight radiative cooling under humid maritime air, support the market's closely matched probabilities across the mid-20s. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift through the short lead time, with historical early-September climatology placing typical lows near 21–23°C. Traders weigh the potential for clearer skies to allow slightly lower readings against rain-cooled air masses that could hold minima higher, with final resolution hinging on the next KMA updates and observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions