Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C on September 13 amid lingering moisture from recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humid air, moderating temperature swings, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharp drops below 15°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions persisting, keeping minimums above historical September averages in some runs but allowing brief clearer intervals that could permit modest cooling. Trader odds remain closely balanced because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture—common this time of year—can easily move the realized low across the 14–24°C range, with new observational data and updated model outputs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 71%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
71%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
25%
19°C
31%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
71%
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 71%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
71%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C on September 13 amid lingering moisture from recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humid air, moderating temperature swings, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharp drops below 15°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions persisting, keeping minimums above historical September averages in some runs but allowing brief clearer intervals that could permit modest cooling. Trader odds remain closely balanced because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture—common this time of year—can easily move the realized low across the 14–24°C range, with new observational data and updated model outputs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C on September 13 amid lingering moisture from recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humid air, moderating temperature swings, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharp drops below 15°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions persisting, keeping minimums above historical September averages in some runs but allowing brief clearer intervals that could permit modest cooling. Trader odds remain closely balanced because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture—common this time of year—can easily move the realized low across the 14–24°C range, with new observational data and updated model outputs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C on September 13 amid lingering moisture from recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. The Sichuan Basin’s topography often traps humid air, moderating temperature swings, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharp drops below 15°C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions persisting, keeping minimums above historical September averages in some runs but allowing brief clearer intervals that could permit modest cooling. Trader odds remain closely balanced because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture—common this time of year—can easily move the realized low across the 14–24°C range, with new observational data and updated model outputs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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