Recent forecasts indicate Chongqing's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall between 27–29°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in the exact minimum. Incoming moisture and scattered thunderstorms or rain are expected to increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects and moderating temperatures relative to recent hot, clear nights near 29–30°C. High regional humidity and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin further constrain overnight drops, though model differences in precipitation timing and coverage create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will clarify resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 28?
28°C 45%
27°C 44%
29°C 44%
26°C 43%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
41%
26°C
43%
27°C
44%
28°C
45%
29°C
44%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
38%
28°C 45%
27°C 44%
29°C 44%
26°C 43%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
41%
26°C
43%
27°C
44%
28°C
45%
29°C
44%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Chongqing's overnight low on August 28 will likely fall between 27–29°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in the exact minimum. Incoming moisture and scattered thunderstorms or rain are expected to increase cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects and moderating temperatures relative to recent hot, clear nights near 29–30°C. High regional humidity and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin further constrain overnight drops, though model differences in precipitation timing and coverage create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will clarify resolution criteria over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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