Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Chongqing’s August 27 overnight low near 27–29 °C amid lingering peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan, which is sustaining scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the region. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island retain warmth, keeping the most probable minima tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific spread and the remaining uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus and local observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
31°C 46%
26°C 44%
25°C 42%
34°C or higher 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
20%
25°C
42%
26°C
44%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
14%
31°C
46%
32°C
14%
33°C
14%
34°C or higher
31%
31°C 46%
26°C 44%
25°C 42%
34°C or higher 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Chongqing’s August 27 overnight low near 27–29 °C amid lingering peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan, which is sustaining scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the region. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island retain warmth, keeping the most probable minima tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific spread and the remaining uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Chongqing’s August 27 overnight low near 27–29 °C amid lingering peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan, which is sustaining scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the region. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island retain warmth, keeping the most probable minima tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific spread and the remaining uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF place Chongqing’s August 27 overnight low near 27–29 °C amid lingering peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan, which is sustaining scattered showers and variable cloud cover across the region. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island retain warmth, keeping the most probable minima tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific spread and the remaining uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C depending on the final model consensus and local observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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